This portfolio approach softens the impact when we encounter a series of losses or rapidly changing market conditions due to global uncertainty, because there will probably be some profitable positions that are going to help maintain a healthy account balance.
Watch the TrilliumFX demo video to have a better understanding of how multiple strategies can be executed and monitored simultaneously.
The system is stable and robust, performing well in all 12 years of our research data, from January 2000 through December 2011. We conducted extreme "stress test" scenarios with 15% risk exposure per position, and the account did not "blow up" for any of the 12 years. Under normal operation, we will recommend a risk exposure of 1% for conservative investors, and 7% for aggressive speculators. As you correctly expect, trading at 7% risk exposure will experience very high drawdowns and very high returns on initial capital. If you are wondering about trading at 15% risk exposure, although the account is profitable every year with at least 200% net profit annually, the returns for several years are less compared to trading at 5% or 7% risk exposure. Betting bigger does not lead to better results.
The 12-year test results are summarised below:
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2000 at 1% Risk $218,275 12.01%
Year 2000 at 7% Risk $4,103,173 34.13%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2001 at 1% Risk $49,208 10.72%
Year 2001 at 7% Risk $482,327 39.73%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2002 at 1% Risk $83,573 16.70%
Year 2002 at 7% Risk $607,262 69.75%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2003 at 1% Risk $136,934 12.25%
Year 2003 at 7% Risk $3,773,611 21.69%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2004 at 1% Risk $147,510 10.03%
Year 2004 at 7% Risk $3,864,074 41.51%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2005 at 1% Risk $117,960 10.90%
Year 2005 at 7% Risk $1,923,786 29.46%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2006 at 1% Risk $101,621 15.37%
Year 2006 at 7% Risk $2,108,050 32.88%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2007 at 1% Risk $132,911 11.25%
Year 2007 at 7% Risk $3,050,471 22.42%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2008 at 1% Risk $166,157 20.87%
Year 2008 at 7% Risk $2,505,057 48.46%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2009 at 1% Risk $51,409 16.46%
Year 2009 at 7% Risk $353,860 66.12%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2010 at 1% Risk $119,523 7.33%
Year 2010 at 7% Risk $1,876,017 31.61%
Initial Capital = $100,000 Net Profit Maximum Drawdown
Year 2011 at 1% Risk $107,401 15.15%
Year 2011 at 7% Risk $2,279,015 24.74%
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